Trucks make inaugural visit to Pocono
Autoracing Betting Lines
07/27/2010 -
Long Pond, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Series: NASCAR Camping World Truck. Date:
Saturday, July 31. Race: Pocono Mountains 125. Site: Pocono Raceway. Track:
2.5-mile triangle. Start time: 1:00 p.m. (et). Laps: 50. Miles: 125.
Television: SPEED. Radio: Motor Racing Network(MRN)/SIRIUS NASCAR Radio.
The Camping World Truck Series will compete at Pocono Raceway for the first
time this weekend. The series' inaugural stop at Pocono marks the final track
currently hosting a Sprint Cup race at which trucks have yet to compete.
This will not be the first time the series competes in the Commonwealth of
Pennsylvania. Truck teams used to run at the now defunct Nazareth Speedway in
Nazareth, PA from 1996-2001.
Saturday's race at the 2.5-mile Pocono track is scheduled to be 125 miles in
length, which means it's a 50-lap shootout.
"I think adding Pocono is great for the series, and by making it a 50-lap
race, you are sure to see a lot of action," said four-time and defending
series champion Ron Hornaday. "I know that going down in to turn one, you
better have a good spot, because we will probably be four or five wide."
Hornaday has previous experience at Pocono, with two Cup starts here during
the 2001 season, when he drove the No.14 car for team owner A.J. Foyt.
Last Friday, Hornaday ended a 22-race winless streak at O'Reilly Raceway Park
at Indianapolis. Hornaday recorded his 46th career truck victory, but his
first since August 1, 2009 at Nashville. He currently is fourth in points
(-212).
Todd Bodine is the current leader, holding a 177-point advantage over Aric
Almirola. Bodine is another driver who has previous experience at Pocono.
"I think you're going to see a heck of a race," Bodine said. "I know everybody
is saying that. The way the trucks are and the drafting that's involved, the
way Pocono is, long straightaways with a little bit slower corner, drafting is
going to be very large, it's going to be critical.
"I think a lot of the veteran drivers like myself and [Mike] Skinner and
Hornaday, guys that have competed there in the Cup Series, we're going to have
a little advantage for a while. But I think that the guys in the Truck Series
are good enough and the teams are good enough that they're going to catch up."
Three Sprint Cup regulars -- Denny Hamlin, Kasey Kahne and Elliott Sadler --
also will compete in the truck race at Pocono.
Kahne is driving the No.18 Toyota for Kyle Busch Motorsports. Busch will be in
Iowa on Saturday for the Nationwide race there. Kahne is undefeated in two
career truck starts. He won the last two races of the 2004 season --
Darlington and Homestead.
"Kyle and I had been talking about it for a while, and I told him I was
interested in running a truck race or two for KBM this year," Kahne said. "He
had another obligation with the NASCAR Nationwide Series race on Saturday, so
he asked if I could race his truck. It's a great opportunity for me to come
back to the series and compete with really good equipment. I've watched Kyle
put the team together, and it's really been impressive how well they've done
this year as a first-year team."
The format for truck qualifying at Pocono will be considerably different. The
qualifying order is set by inverting the times from Friday's final practice
session. Trucks are released in approximately 25-second increments, and
drafting is prohibited.
Thirty-seven teams are on the preliminary entry list for Pocono Mountains 125.
<< Nationwide Series heads to Iowa
Newton, IA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Series: NASCAR Nationwide. Date: Saturday, July
31. Race: U.S. Cellular 250. Site: Iowa Speedway. Track: 0.875-mile oval.
Start time: 7:30 p.m. (et). Laps: 250. Miles: 218.75. 2009 winner: Brad
Keselowski. Televisi
<< Hamlin seeking third straight win at Pocono
Long Pond, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Series: NASCAR Sprint Cup. Date: Sunday,
August 1. Race: Sunoco Red Cross Pennsylvania 500. Site: Pocono Raceway.
Track: 2.5-mile triangle. Start time: 1:00 p.m. (et). Laps: 200. Miles: 500.
2009 winner: Denny H
<< This Week in Auto Racing July 30 - August 1
Long Pond, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - All three of NASCAR's national touring series
are in action this weekend, with the Sprint Cup and Camping World Truck Series
at Pocono and the Nationwide Series at Iowa. Formula One heads to Budapest for
the Hun
<< Oilers re-sign center Brule to two-year deal
Edmonton, AB (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Edmonton Oilers re-signed center Gilbert
Brule to a two-year deal on Tuesday.
Financial terms were not disclosed.
"Gilbert made a big step last year in his development," said Oilers general
manager
<< NFL strengthens stance on concussions
New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The National Football League has taken
another step forward in its ongoing effort to limit the effects of
concussions.
The New York Times first reported on and re-printed a draft of a pos
Nationals scratch Strasburg before series opener with Braves >>
Washington, DC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Washington Nationals scratched Stephen
Strasburg before his scheduled start on Tuesday night versus Atlanta.
Strasburg stopped his pre-game warm up and was shut down after consultation
with coaches
Colorado's Street sent to hospital after batting practice accident >>
Denver, CO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Colorado closer Huston Street was sent to the
hospital after being hit by a line drive during a batting practice accident.
Street was hit in the midsection by a line drive off the bat of Ian Stewart
prior to Tue
Eagles come to terms with second-round pick Allen >>
Bethlehem, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Philadelphia Eagles have signed safety
Nate Allen, their 2010 second-round draft pick, to a four-year contract.
Allen was taken with the 37th overall selection out of South Florida, where he
picked off
Wolves' Flynn has hip surgery >>
Minneapolis, MN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Minnesota Timberwolves guard Jonny Flynn
underwent surgery on Tuesday to repair a labral tear and remove extra bone
from his left hip.
The Wolves have already planned for Flynn's absence, signing f
Pac-10 announces future name change >>
New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Pac-10 Conference will officially
undergo a name change once two new schools join the grouping.
The announcement was made on Tuesday, as conference commissioner Larry Scott
unveiled new branding
Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?
Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.
“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.
“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “
What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?
There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).
Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).
How the Opening Line Is Made
The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.
Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.
Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.
Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.
The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.
A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.
Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:
Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game
Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)
The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.
Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.
For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.
Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."
“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”
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Bonds nearly hits HR 751, SF wins
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